Ness Labs: Fear of a Better Option 🌟


Edition #233 – July 4th, 2024
A newsletter by Anne-Laure Le Cunff

Hello friends,
Some weeks are quiet, and other weeks are so full you feel like your heart might explode. Last week was one of the latter for me. After working with Mama Ayahuasca, I took a few days off to recharge, and then went to Vienna to present my research at a neuroscience conference. I was a bit worried about how intense this might be, but turns out... neuroscientists are just a bunch of nerdy kids, and it was a lot of fun.
This week, I want to talk about FOMO’s lesser known cousin: FOBO, or the Fear of a Better Option. It’s a lot more insidious and has an outsized impact on our decision-making, especially if you’re a maximizer.
We also launched a collection of case studies in the Ness Labs community, so you can see what other tiny experiments people have been running and what they learned. And we have more coworking sessions for folks in APAC.
That’s it for now – enjoy the read, and happy 4th of July to those of you based in the US :)
Anne-Laure.
P.S. I’m now in the process of selecting the book cover for Tiny Experiments (the amazing design team at Penguin came up with 21 options!) and I’d love to hear your thoughts if you have time this week. Just hit reply and I’ll send you the options.

FOBO or the Fear of a Better Option

You’re about to launch a new product, but you can’t decide on the tech stack. You’ve been researching for weeks, worried that you might miss out on the perfect solution. Sounds familiar? This is FOBO – the Fear of a Better Option. It’s the lesser-known cousin of FOMO, and it might be secretly sabotaging your decision-making process.

As psychologist Barry Schwartz puts it: “Learning to choose is hard. Learning to choose well is harder. And learning to choose well in a world of unlimited possibilities is harder still, perhaps too hard.” It’s a bit like standing in front of a buffet with endless choices, but standing here starving because you can’t bring yourself to settle on an option.

The Fear of a Better Option

FOMO, or fear of missing out, is a term that has become common in everyday language and has permeated most corners of our popular culture. But the author who coined the term FOMO, Patrick McGinnis, recently warned people about another fear they may experience at some point in their lives: FOBO, or the fear of a better option. It’s the nagging question that prevents you from making a choice: “What if there’s something better out there?”

Maximizers are particularly prone to FOBO. While satisficers simply try to find a solution that is good enough, maximizers try to make an optimal decision. This means considering all the possible options for fear that they will miss out on the best one, and often leads to indecision, stress, and frustration.

And because FOBO doesn’t disappear after the decision was taken, it also frequently leads to regret. Was this really the best option? Did I really consider all the potential alternatives?

Patrick McGinnis explains: “FOBO is nothing new. People have long agonized over major life choices, like getting married, taking a job, or buying a house, in hopes of finding a slightly better or radically better option. Today, when we have so many options, we don’t just try to optimize who we marry, or where we work or live – we try to optimize nearly every aspect of our lives and we spend inordinate time and energy in the process.”

The problem is that the assumption of complete information—a situation in which knowledge about all payoffs and strategies is available to all participants—is unrealistic. Since we won’t be able to have all the necessary information to make the “best” decision, it’s often better to pick the one that seems to be the most sensible at the time, even if it means accepting some trade-offs. That’s what satisficers tend to do more easily.

Signs You are Suffering from FOBO

Even though FOBO is not a clinical disorder but simply a limiting bias towards maximizing each decision, there are a few signs you can look for.

• Excessive research leading to procrastination. Do you spend lots of time researching all potential options before making a decision? Please note that it doesn’t mean researching is bad. It’s good to do your research before making a choice or a purchase. But you’re entering FOBO territory when you end up making the decision much later than you had planned, or start feeling stressed about the process because you know you should be allocating your efforts to something else, for example building the product or talking to potential customers.

• Frequent regrets about past decisions. If you often look back and think that maybe you should have chosen a different solution or a different path, you may be experiencing FOBO. Satisficers will just move on and optimize for the present and the future, while maximisers tend to dwell more on the past and continue to imagine potential scenarios well after the decision was made.

• Secret goals versus open experimentation. Announcing your goals is a great way to commit to them. It’s also a great way to set your mind on a specific option. People experiencing FOBO may stop themselves from publicly sharing their goals to avoid being forced into what may feel like a premature decision, and to keep their options open. While satisfacers tend to have more of an experimental mindset, going for a suboptimal solution just to “give it a go” and “see how it turns out”, and will be happy to share their experience doing so, maximisers will want to ensure their choice will result in the expected outcome before making the decision for fear of failing and feeling ashamed.

Overall, the surest sign that you’re suffering from FOBO is when you keep stretching out the decision-making process, trying to overly optimize your choice instead of going for a satisfactory option.

How to cope with FOBO

The more important the decision, the harder it is to deal with FOBO. That’s why it’s better to start working on your fear of a better option with small, comparatively less stressful decisions.

1) Recognise the signs. Noting when you are spending a lot of time worrying about inconsequential things is the first step to managing FOBO. For example, if you’re spending too much time deciding what you should have for lunch or what to wear today, you’re using some precious mental energy that would probably be better used elsewhere. Just start being more aware of these moments of unreasonable research and option comparison.

2) Ask the universe. Seriously. Turn small, inconsequential decisions into a straight “yes” or “no” and then look at the time. If it’s an odd number, it’s yes. If even, no. “It’s a way of externalizing and letting the universe decide something that isn’t important,” says McGinnis.

3) Use a decision framework. For bigger decisions, having a process in place is a powerful way to help you navigate different options and ultimately make a reasonable choice, without spending too much time dealing with FOBO. I personally like the DECIDE framework—define the problem, establish the criteria, consider the alternatives (but not for too long!), identify the choice, develop a plan of action, and evaluate the solution.

While it’s perfectly normal to experience analysis paralysis when on the verge of making an important decision, whether personal or professional, in most cases FOBO is about choices that won’t have a huge impact. And, more often than not, not making a decision at all is worse than choosing one of the suboptimal alternatives.

In the words of Patrick McGinnis: “You can never predict what’s going to happen. You make the best decision you can, then you recognise that the future will tell its own story.”

⚡ Brain Pick

At Ness Labs, we know how important it is to learn from and with others on the same journey, but leadership can be lonely – especially in a virtual world. Remote working has only deepened the divide between meaningful connections.

Sidebar is all about connecting with the right peers to build deep and lasting connections that propel your career forward.

It’s a highly curated leadership program where you get matched to a supportive, diverse circle of peers who can help you within-depth advice, honest feedback, or holding you accountable. Members include brilliant entrepreneurs, as well as senior leaders from companies like Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta.

Learn more about accelerating your career and request your invite to join at sidebar.com.

🤝 Brain Trust

If you enjoy the newsletter, you'll love our community of curious minds who grow together through interactive workshops and safe discussion spaces. Here is what you can learn this week:

• Explore our case studies. We have an exciting new section in the community: real case studies of how members have used tiny experiments to leverage their curiosity and figure out what works for them!
Build a meditation habit. Beth Leria is hosting an 8-week meditation challenge in the community. Join her every Friday (including tomorrow) for a 20-minute meditation session, from 12:00-12:25 EST.
• Design a self-reflection practice.
Gosia Fricze will lead our next Creative Hour on July 8th, where you’ll learn how to balance public learning with private reflection.
• Overcome career stagnation. Casey Dai recently hosted a community workshop where we discussed five scenarios that can lead to career stagnation and the strategies to overcome them. Watch the recording.
• Make progress on your projects. Tackle your task list while enjoying the company of fellow community members. Kathryn Ruge, Lukas Rosenstock and Javier Luis Gomez are hosting coworking sessions on Mondays and Thursdays, covering all timezones (including New Zealand!).

All of these and future events are included in the price of the annual membership ($49), as well as access to the recordings of all our previous sessions and past cohort-based courses.

🌊 Brain Waves

Have a friend who wants to make the most of their mind? Send them the newsletter using your unique referral link below and unlock Reflective Minds, a database of good questions from great thinkers and creators.

Until next week, take care!
Anne-Laure.

P.S. My friend Nat Eliason published a book and it’s very good – here’s my review!

Ness Labs by Anne-Laure Le Cunff

A weekly newsletter with science-based insights on creativity, mindful productivity, better thinking and lifelong learning.

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